Welcome to Kurnac.net
Your Subtitle text
Archives



NFL Football

Archieves

Sunday, December 29, 2019

Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-9) TOTAL 45.5 - Chiefs still have seeding to play for in the postseason, Chargers just playing out. KC has been doing damage on both sides of the ball and no reason to stop here - it's a give.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) @ Baltimore Ravens. TOTAL 37 - Ravens have wrapped up top honors in AFC, so they are playing backups and not to get hurt. Steelers are in the mix for last AFC playoff spot, so they have everything on the line. History under Coach Tomlin is that Pittsburgh will be more than ready today and win as they do, a close low scoring contest - laying the points.

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) TOTAL 45 - This is the only game I'm interested in that has no playoff implications. I like what the Cardinals have done for the most part this season, especially in a tough NFC West, so motivating a team like this to finish strong shouldn't be hard. On the other hand, more was expected from the Rams and can easily see them play a bit less inspired. Going to throw out the first meeting between these two on Dec. 1, as Rams were in a different mindset, which also could inspire Cards to see some revenge. Arizona also played well ATS on the road as a dog this campaign, so I expect a good effort - taking the points. 





Sunday, December 22, 2019

It was a rough Saturday, time to make a comeback today ...

Baltimore Ravens (-9.5) @ Cleveland Browns TOTAL 49 - This is a revenge game for possibly the best team in the NFL, the Ravens, who still have incentives in mind even though they are already in the playoffs. Looking for Baltimore to run all over the Browns and win handily this time around after losing the first meeting between these teams earlier in the season - laying the points.

New Orleans Saints (-3) @ Tennessee Titans TOTAL 49 - Saints are another team with something still to play for, then again so do the Titans. However, New Orleans has more experience in these situations in recent history and can win this by more than a field goal - it's a give.

Detroit Lions @ Denver Broncos (-6.5) TOTAL 39 - This game is meaningless for the playoff picture, but what I do like is that the Broncos are at home and have a defense that will win the battles against the Lions offense. It is not the "sexiest" game on the slate, but that's not what this is about - giving the points.



Saturday, December 21, 2019

Houston Texans (-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TOTAL 50.5 - The game has more meaning for the Texans than the Bucs, so you would expect that type of effort from the visitors. However, Houston has shown that they can be a different team from week-to-week and that is a concern. Tampa Bay has played very well winning its last four, albeit against teams not as good as this opponent. What I do expect here is points to be scored, with that in mind, the play is the over here.

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (-6.5) TOTAL  37.5 - This is a huge game in the AFC East as the Bills could tie the Pats for the top spot, even with both already having clinched a playoff berth. This is about unseating the legendary franchise from a spot it has seemed to dominate for so long. However, in this spot I think what the New England teams has is a certain intangible in situations like this to do what is needed to win. Even better, they come back home after a loss that snapped a very long winning street in Foxboro, so I expect a very big effort. It should be enough to win, but not by enough to cover - taking the points.

Los Angles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) TOTAL 44.5 - In a league where it is strictly a week-to-week matchup for most teams, usually the better clubs bounce back with a much better effort. Well both the Rams and Niners lost last week and who is coming back strong. well for me it's the team that has been more consistent and that's San Francisco. They handled business over this rival earlier this season and could easily see that happening in No Cal again today. Look for a big defensive effort to set the tone and the running attack to propel the 49ers to a win by at least a touchdown - laying the points
  



Sunday, December 15, 2019

Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) @ Carolina Panthers TOTAL 49.5 - Look the 'Hawks threw in a clunker last week, but this is a much easier spot against a Panthers team that appears to have packed it in after five straight losses and a coach firing. Russell Wilson gets it going here and Seattle comes out on top by more than a TD - it's a give.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-4.5) TOTAL 40.5 - Yes there have been signs of life from the Bears, but upon further review, this 3-game winning streak has come against the Giants, Lions and Cowboys (combined 11-27-1 this campaign), hardly a formidable trio. The Packers have compiled a winning mark sitting atop the NFC North and have enough credible wins sprinkled in to believe they are better than the visitor, who they beat Week 1 by a TD. Not saying this won't be close, but think the Packers can come out on top by at least five points - laying the points.

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans (-3)  TOTAL 51.5 - A battle for first place in the AFC South between the Texans and Titans and it should be aigh-scoring affair. Texans didn't really show up in last week's loss, but what I am looking at is the fact that this group as bounced back following every setback this season with a win. Tennessee has caught fire since making the quarterback change, especially on offense. This will be quite a test for both teams, just a feeling that the Texans keep it close and take this one late - grabbing the field goal.    



Sunday, December 8, 2019

Baltimore Ravens (-6) @ Buffalo Bills TOTAL 44 - While the records are only a game apart, the strength of schedule is completely different as the Ravens have faced a gauntlet of tougher opponents, especially the last six outings. The Bills are certainly credible, but they have to beat a team like Baltimore before I change my feelings. On the flip side, when do the Ravens throw in a clunker, not today! Going to look for a tough cold weather game, but the visitors handle business - laying the points.

Denver Broncos @ Houston Texans (-9.5) TOTAL 42.5 - Houston comes off a huge win and look to stay hot after winning four of its last five. I think they will play well again, but could easily see a bit of a let down versus the Broncos. After starting 0-4, Denver has gone 4-4, playing some good defense at times. I The Broncos should keep this one closer than expected and stay within a TD - grabbing the points.

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams (PK) TOTAL 47 - Seahawks trying to keep pace with the top teams in the NFC for homefield throughout the playoffs and enter this one with a 4-game winning streak. The Rams have been inconsistent from week-to-week and no surprise, are merely a .500 team at home this season, so it doesn't seem like that will help them here. Looking for Russell Wilson to keep the offense moving in full gear and take this one outright!



Sunday, December 1, 2019

Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers (-10.5) TOTAL 39 - Panthers still have an outside shot at the playoffs despite the 3-game slide, two of which were to playoff-level/eligible teams, and can get that momentum started against the Redskins. I'm looking for the Carolina offense to score and the defense to shut down a weak Washington bunch - giving the points.

Green Bay Packers (-6.5) @ New York Giants  TOTAL 43 - This is actually a big game for the Packers and one they have to jump all over to keep playoff aspirations alive. No other way to look at it, especially against a Giants team that is just simply not making enough plays, is injured, has that "fired-tone" circulating about the head coach and just isn't that good. Green Bay has had it's ups and downs already and this is time for another up - laying the number.

Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5) @ Miami Dolphins TOTAL 45 - Look, these two teams have different agendas at this point, however one thing, that I think will happen here, is scoring by both teams. If that's the case, I think the Dolphins lose, to keep what they need in play, but they score just enough to face a 8-10 point setback to the Eagles with a late score. - taking the points with that hook.



Thursday, November 28, 2019

Happy Thanksgiving

Chicago Bears (-5.5) @ Detroit Lions TOTAL 37.5 - Bears are not having the season they had expected at 5-6, but the way things have shaken out, the Lions are that much worse right now, having lost four straight and seven of their last eight. Not expecting a blow out, but under these situations as a Thanksgiving Day underdog, Detroit hasn't gotten the job done in the last 11 opportunities going 1-10, so looking for the visitors to cover - it's a give.

Buffalo Bills @ Dallas Cowboys (-7) TOTAL 46.5 - This is kind of a measurable game as to how good these teams are since both enter with winning records. The Bills have really made their bones this season against the average or lesser teams, with only the Tennessee win sticking out as anything of quality. The Cowboys are in the same boat, only beating one team that had a winning record and feasting on the bottom dwellers. I think the only thing in play is that Buffalo has a defense that might be able to keep the game close, especially on a short week - going to take the touchdown. 

New Orleans Saints (-7) TOTAL 49.5 -  The Saints have a measure of revenge in this one, this after losing to the Falcons three games ago, which snapped a 6-game winning streak. The Falcons looked to have gotten things going after a pair of victories, but stumbled badly last week and fell to the Bucs. Saints have been very good on the road the past few seasons ATS and that continues here - giving the points. 



Sunday, November 24, 2019

Seattle Seahawks @ Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) TOTAL 47.5 - The Seahawks come off a bye and this is usually a strong play for this team, especially under a coach like Pete Carroll. The Eagles have been what the record indicates an average team, they can play with most teams, but they aren't playing at a top level consistently. Seattle can score and will - taking the points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) TOTAL 52  - Falcons have show life over the last few weeks, especially on defense, getting to the quarterback and creating turnovers. On the other side, the Bucs haven't protected the quarterback well and Jameis Winston leads the league in interceptions thrown. Look for Atlanta to get off early and make the visitor play from behind, which should work to the the home team's strengths - laying the points.

Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers (-3) TOTAL 47.5 - One of the best games of the day here and really think this should play out that way. The Niners bounced back from their first loss with a hard-fought win over the Cardinals last week, but they do look more vulnerable than they had several weeks ago. The Packers also rebounded from a loss a few weeks ago with a nice home win over the Panthers and that is something to build off here. Plus, I think there is some hidden meaning for Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers here, returning to the area he hails from - taking the field goal.  

 

Sunday, November 17, 2019

Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens (-4.5) TOTAL 51.5 - Should be one of the more entertaining and competitive games of the day with the two explosive quarterbacks leading the way. The Texans can keep this one close and have the athletes to keep up with the Ravens offense - taking the points.

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers (-10.5) TOTAL 44 - The Niners finally stumbled, but it wasn't a bad beat, so look for them to return with the usual defensive pressure and offensive running attack which has worked so far this season. The Cardinals can score points and that is the key for me. Arizona may not win, but I can see them scoring late to spoil the big number - grabbing the double-digit spread.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders (-12.5) TOTAL 48.5 - The Bengals remain the only winless team in the NFL and have had trouble scoring points, putting up 17 or less in 7-of-9 contests. The Raiders are actually playing competitive football and they do something well, run the ball, that will give the Cincy defense trouble here. Oakland can control the tempo on offense and limit the visitor on defense - giving the points. 



Sunday, November 10, 2019

Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5) TOTAL 52 - Cardinals are the type of team that can hang around or score late and spoil the spread. Tampa Bay has not covered in four straight games all losses. This one should be a back and fourth type affair and looking for the visitor to keep it close - taking the points.

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers (-5) TOTAL 48 - With the exception of the game against the Niners, the Panthers have played well, winning and covering as both favorite and underdog. The Packers stumbled on the road last week, but I don't think that will carry over here. Still, this could be a close game throughout and going to look for the visitor to hang tough - grabbing the points.


Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys (-3) TOTAL 48 - Look for some reason Vikings QB Kirk Cousins doesn't perform well under these situations against this type of opponent. Dallas seems to have gotten back on track and should be able to cover the field goal here - laying the points



Sunday, November 3, 2019

Indianapolis Colts (-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers TOTAL 40.5 - Colts come in here with a 3-game winning streak ,  are an efficient team and playing tough defense, which is always a recipe for success. The Steelers have bounced back with a pair of wins, but it was against the Chargers and Dolphins, so not sure of the quality there. This will be tougher for the home team and Indy can win in a close one - it's a give.

Green Bay Packers (-4) @ Los Angeles Chargers TOTAL 48.5 - Packers are playing at a top tier level, have won four straight and are 3-0 on the road  this season. Meanwhile the Chargers do not look like a cohesive group and have actually won more games away from home. The Green Bay offense has scored 130 points in last four and looking for that trend to continue today - laying the points.

Cleveland Browns (-4) @ Denver Broncos TOTAL 39 - Neither team is having a particularly good season, so looking beyond the records here. The Browns have played well against this level of opponent and both of their wins this season have come on the road. The Broncos are starting a backup quarterback who will be taking his first professional snaps today and behind a not so good offensive line. That is not the type of thing you want against a Cleveland defense that can get after the quarterback. Look for the Browns to run the ball and then hit with long passes once they get the match-ups they want - giving the points.



Sunday, October 27, 2019

Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts (-5.5)  TOTAL 42.5 - The Colts are a steady team and more importantly they really don't hurt themselves with turnovers or penalties. The Broncos did show a little life with back-to-back wins earlier this month, but they came down to earth in a loss against the Chiefs last week. Look for Indy to control the ball on offense and limit Denver when the Broncos have the ball - laying the points.

Seattle Seahawks (-8) @ Atlanta Falcons  TOTAL 50.5 - The Seahawks stumbled last week, so expecting a much better effort this time around. They have enough firepower behind QB Russell Wilson to score against this bad Atlanta defense and that should lead to plenty of points on the scoreboard. The Falcons just are not playing well as a team and even worse as an underdog, going 1-4 ATS in that situation. Yeah, it's a road favorite by more than a touchdown, but unless the Atlanta defense decides to show up for the first time this season (they have given up at least 20 points in every game this season), that shouldn't even matter - it's a give.

Carolina Panthers @ San Francisco 49ers (-5). TOTAL  40.5 - This should be a pretty good game, maybe the best of the week, and also should tell us a bit more about where these team really belong in the NFL pecking order. The Panthers have won four straight, are playing well and actually are 3-0 on the road outright and ATS. Yes, the Niners might be one of the surprise teams this season, going undefeated to date and doing it on both sides of the ball. However, just think the Panthers can keep it close enough to get the cover - taking the points.

 



Sunday, October 20, 2029


Oakland Raiders @ Green Bay Packers (-5) TOTAL 47.5 - By this point of the season, barring serious injury to say a quarterback, teams really have given an indication of who they are and what level they belong. From what I've seen, Green Bay is the better overall team in this one, the defense has shown to be an improved unit, which has balanced the still new-system offense. The offense also has some new skill guys in the mix and there is a learning curve there as well. Don't get me wrong, the Raiders are an improved team, but appear to be a level below the hosts. What is always helpful on the road is the solid Oakland running game behind rookie Josh Jacobs (can also catch the ball), still it won't be enough as the Packers prevail by around a touchdown - laying the points.

San Francisco 49ers (-10) @ Washington Redskins TOTAL 39.5 - As mentioned above, we know what level these clubs are on and unless the Niners decide to self-destruct, they win and it should be comfortable. Look what Washington needs to do offensively, run the ball, is a strength of the San Fran defense. Overall the Redskins don't score much and the 49ers defense doesn't allow many. On and on, it goes, factor in that I would think SF Head Coach Mike Shannon does have a little human nature and remind the Washington brass/fans what they had - giving the double digits.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals  TOTAL 44 - The Jags ran into a very good team in the Saints last week and while the offense couldn't generate much, the defense only allowed 13 points, so that was definitely a positive against that type of offense. Let's just say the Bengals are not the Saints on either side of the ball and Jacksonville should come out taking it right to this foe. Saw a stat that basically said teams that are in the Bengals winless situation (0-4 or worse) as home dogs only cover around 30% of the time, so that to is a thing to factor in - it's a give.
 



Sunday, October 13, 2019



 Philadelphia Eagles @ Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) TOTAL 45 - Yes the NFL is most definitely a week-to-week proposition as we all know and these teams epitomize that. The funny part about last week is that these teams beat up the NY teams with the Eagles handling the hapless Jets, while the Vikings easily took apart the Giants. If Minnesota sticks with a more balanced offensive attack, really think the Vikes should have enough to get by Philly. Home field never hurts too - laying the points.



Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) TOTAL 55 - Texans come in off a big win, while Chiefs stumbled last week and on top of that are banged up. This should feature a lot of points, but even if it doesn't, feel the road team can stay within a field goal - grabbing the field goal plus the hook.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Diego Chargers (-6) TOTAL  41.5 - Just think the Chargers, who are an average looking team, are better than the Steelers, who just don't look like teams of the past, starting a third-string rookie quarterback. It will probably be a close game at times, but think the hometown Chargers can win by at least a touchdown - it's a give.




Sunday, October 6, 2019

Chicago Bears (-5.5) vs. Oakland Raiders TOTAL 40.5 (in London) - The Bears defense is ridiculously good, they dominate and create points, so even if the offense has a backup quarterback, it lessens that weakness, something other teams sometimes can't overcome. In a day and age where rules are created to make football a Madden-like product, the Chicago defense defies that logic and makes it a point to lock an opponent down. Sure the Raiders had a great game last week, but this is not the Colts they are playing. When the Bears pass rush cones at Derek Carr in relentless fashion, turnovers will ensue as well as sacks and bad field position - giving the points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints (-3) TOTAL 45.5 - The Saints really have become a well-rounded team, they have talent on both sides of the ball, and there is a reason they paid backup QB Teddy Bridgewater so well as evidenced the last two games. Tampa Bay is definitely an improved team and can put pressure on opposing quarterbacks behind Shaq Barrett. Still, it's hard to come into the dome and handle the Saints plus that crowd. As long as the refs don't get in the way, New Orleans can cover a field goal in this one - laying the number.

Denver Broncos @ Los Angles Chargers (-5.5) TOTAL 44.5 - Just not sure what to make of the Broncos as they come into this one without a victory. On the other side, the Chargers rebounded with a strong second half against the hapless Dolphins to even their record at 2-2. The slow start may have been attributed to the west to east trip, but now this group is back in Los Angeles. While there are some strong historical numbers for the Denver defense against Philip Rivers, really don't think this edition of this Broncos unit is what we have been used to, so is there relevance in those stats. Looking for Rivers and company to play a steady game and get the cover late - it's a give.
  


Sunday, September 29, 2019

Kansas City Chiefs (-7) @ Detroit Lions TOTAL 54.5 - Not always a fan of favored road teams, but these Chiefs can score points in bunches and are not just undefeated outright, but also 3-0 ATS. Okay, so the Lions are also unbeaten (one tie), but don't believe they can run for four quarters with this caliber of opponent. Look for the KC offense to simply outscore this rival and cover the touchdown - laying the points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Rams (-9.5) TOTAL 49 - One thing the Rams can do is score points and are even better at home. Always a little wary about needing a team to cover double digits, but Los Angles is one of those teams that are explosive enough to do it. The Bucs are not quite at the Rams level - it's a give.

Seattle Seahawks (-5.5) @ Arizona Cardinals TOTAL 48 - The Seahawks are the better team, that's obvious, but they are favored on the road and could easily see the Cardinals keep this one closer than expected. A late score is what covers this one - taking the home team and the points.




Sunday, September 22, 2019

Denver Broncos @ Green Bay Packers (-7) TOTAL 43 - Packers opened the season with two straight division wins and now host the Broncos at Lambeau Field. While Rodgers hasn't been explosive, he has done enough to beat a pair of tough defenses, both of which are performing better than the Broncos unit has so far. Also like the Green Bay has covered both games as well and they just have more going on right now on both sides of the ball than Denver - giving the touchdown.

Oakland Raiders @ Minnesota Vikings (-9) TOTAL 43.5 - The Vikings return home and are in a good spot to bounce back from the Week 2 setback to the Packers, against the visiting Raiders, who opened up strong, but came back to earth against the Chiefs last week. Look for the Minnesota defense to make life miserable for Oakland and give the Vikings offense good field position all game - laying the points in what should be a double-digit win.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) @ Cleveland Browns  TOTAL 47.5 - The Rams have opened the season with just what you would expect from the defending NFC Champs, a pair of wins including one on the road at Carolina. The Browns won last week, but the Jets were missing key components and with the exception of a few plays by OBJ, actually did not look as impressive as many thought with the improved roster in that one. A big factor for the Los Angles offense is the return of WR Cooper Kupp, which gives the Rams three targets that defenses just don't seem to be able to match up with for four quarters. Look for the Rams pass rush to be a big factor here as well (no surprise), as they handle the road and the Browns - it's a give.


Sunday, September 15, 2019

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans (-3) TOTAL 43.5 - Sometimes wins and losses don't always tell the story. Just remember, before Andrew Luck retired, all you heard was that the Colts have improved the roster around him. Well on short notice Jacoby Brissett was efficient leading the offense and they pushed the Chargers to overtime in San Diego, before losing, so maybe this group is better! Tennessee blew out the Browns and while everyone, or so it seemed, was placing Cleveland in the playoffs, maybe they aren't quite there yet and we don't know the full quality of this victory. Look the Colts offensive line is much improved and that will be a significant factor here, plus Indy seems to play well versus the Titans - taking the points.

Dallas Cowboys (-6) @ Washington Redskins  TOTAL 45.5 - The Cowboys threw it all at the Giants suspect defense and just about everything seemed to go right in Week 1. Not saying the Redskins defense is much better, but they are back at home and that will be a better environment for them to bounce back a bit after the tough opening loss at Philly. Not sure if it was a surprise or not, but Case Keenum and the Washington offense did have a big day, so that could be something to keep an eye on and what I am hoping for again today - I like the home dog.


Chicago Bears (-2.5) @ Denver Broncos TOTAL  40 - This is just one of those games where there are a lot of factors above the rosters that make this a game that I have to go with the percentages to decide. The Broncos are very tough at home and in openers in Denver (ATS too), and the altitude can be very tough on an opponent in the second half early in the season. Another obvious is the "Vic Fangio factor" with the Broncos head coach coming over from Chicago where he was defensive coordinator. The real issue will be how the Denver pass rush rebounds after a horrid start; how the Broncos keep the Bears off Joe Flacco; and can they run the ball to wear Chicago down in the altitude - I think they can and grabbing the points at home. 




Sunday, September 8, 2019

Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings (-4) TOTAL 47.5 - These two dome teams get things going in Minnesota and while the Vikings expectations might be a little bit higher, this should be one of the better games on the first Sunday of the season. The Minnesota defense should be able to do enough to contain the Atlanta offense and that will be the ultimate difference. Really think that RB Dalvin Cook will make a big impact in this one as well and provide the needed spark to a potentially explosive Vikings offense - it's a give.

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles (-9.5)  TOTAL 45.5 - The Eagles have shown the ability to come out of the gate ready to roll, having won eight of their last 10 season openers, obviously the last few under Doug Pederson guidance. On the other side, the Redskins have not fared as well in the first game of the season, going 1-5 over the last six campaigns. The talent edge goes to Philly, especially at quarterback, so there is even more of an expectation that this one shouldn't be that close. Factor in that the Eagles are 5-1 ATS in the last size openers and that's the way we are leaning - laying the points.


Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) @ Carolina Panthers TOTAL  50 - Rams are better, that's the bottom line, even on the road. Take the visitor here - it's a give


SUPER BOWL LIII
Sunday, February 3, 2019
Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia

New England Patriots (-2.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams TOTAL 56.5 - Well we have finally reached the pinnacle event of the NFL season and for the most part, not really surprised that the Patriots and Rams are the stars of the "Big Show" in Atlanta. New England seems to make this annual event almost every year during the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady pairing, but in reality it's eight trips (winning five) in that time. And, don't discount the experience that this team brings to the table during this contest, which is something out of the ordinary when it comes to how the normal NFL game unfolds, especially things like the elongated halftime. Yes, the Pats are facing a team in the Rams that can be very explosive, but we all know that given an extra week, Belichick can always come up with a wrinkle to bend, but not break defensively. On offense, New England will exploit weaknesses and if you take away the run, Brady will beat you with the pass, but they are just as able to run it down your throat if given the opportunity, using very wise blocking schemes. The Rams defense is tough up front and athletic in the back seven, but needs to make enough big plays, while also getting pressure on Brady with just the line. Not always an easy task in the NFL. Look, one thing rings true for New England in Super Bowls, the Pats keep it close. With that in mind, looking for the Patriots to get the job done this time around and squeak by in typical field-goal fashion - NE 30, LA 27.  




CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND
Sunday, January 20, 2019

Los Angeles Rams @ New Orleans Saints (-3.5) TOTAL 56.5 - A berth in the SB is on the line here and it is also a rematch between the two, after the Saints Won by 10 in early November, also at home. This is one of the toughest places to play for a visiting team and no matter how much you try to prepare, its very hard to simulate the noise in this building. The key will once again be in the trenches as there is enough skill level talent on both sides of the ball to create plays. Yes, the Saints are weakened by injury on the DL, but will it be enough? Saints are 1-5 ATS in last six, while Rams are 4-2 ATS in last half dozen outings, including three straight. I think the Saints will be able to overcome this and win a close one, but not cover - taking the field goal plus. 

New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3) TOTAL 55.5 - While New England has the experience and talent to keep this one close, the big issue for the Patriots is that they are 3-5 on the road this campaign, something that can't be overlooked against the Chiefs who are 7-1 at home this season. This one comes down to a late score once again, except the script is flipped here as the hometown Chiefs get the decision - it's a give.   





DIVISIONAL ROUND

Sunday, January 13, 2019

Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots (-4) TOTAL 47.5 - This is definitely a better Chargers team then we have seen in quite some time, however ….. they are facing the Patriots at home, where they are 8-0 this season, after a bye week, in cold weather and those are very strong factors to overcome, as the past has shown us. I still think Los Angeles, which has gone 7-1 on the road this season, will give a good account of itself here, but not sure it will be enough against this battle-tested opponent - laying the points.

Philadelphia Eagles @ New Orleans Saints (-8) TOTAL 52 - Probably the hardest game of the weekend to figure out and mostly because of what the defending Champion Eagles accomplished last season under back-up QB Nick Foles, who has once again taken over after an injury to Carson Wentz, and led the team to this point. Yes, the Saints blew the Eagles out when they met earlier this season, but it's the playoffs and Philly looks like a different team. However, New Orleans is such a hard team to defense when they are clicking and could present some challenges for the Eagles back seven to contain, so will the touchdown plus be too much or too little. Going to look for the Saints to get the job done, but this is a tepid situation and the best play might be N.O. to go over its team total - so it's a give.

 


Saturday, January 12, 2019

Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs (-5) TOTAL 56.5 - Both teams are capable of explosive offensive play and the total shows just that, so expecting a shootout here. The big stat I am looking at is that the Chiefs are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven games and that is hard to overlook. Even if KC is up big, could definitely see a late Colts score cause a cover - taking the points.

Dallas Cowboys @ Los Angeles Rams (-7) TOTAL 48.5 - The Cowboys have gone 8-1 down the stretch including last week's Wild-Card win, but the key here is that they are on the road and I think that will be a factor here. The Rams are 7-1 at home this campaign and while they have faced much larger spreads in the second half of the season, this touchdown number is much more tolerable to give. The key for LA will be getting off fast and forcing the Cowboys to chase, which I can see happening - laying the points. 



W
ILD-CARD  ROUND
Sunday, January 6, 2019

Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ra  ens (-2.5) TOTAL 43.5 - Chargers are first team to face QB Lamar Jackson twice after the rookie led the Ravens to the playoffs. Trust, schemes will change - taking the points.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (-6.5) TOTAL 41.5 - Bears defense is just plain dominant and will force enough turnovers to make a difference, as they have done all season. The Eagles had a magical run last season, but lightening doesn't always strike twice. It's Chicago's time to advance - laying the points.



WILD CARD  ROUND
Saturday, January 5, 2019

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (-1.5) TOTAL 48.5 - Two evenly-matched teams meet in this playoff opener and they were two of the hottest teams in the NFL, with the Texans winning 11-of-13 after losing their first three, and the Colts going 9-1 in their final 10 outings. These teams split their season series, with each winning at the others field and in both cases by three points. I think this one will be decided like most ,up front and in the turnover battle, and I think Indy's offensive line can give QB Andrew Luck enough chances to make plays - taking the points.

Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) TOTAL 43.5 - Seattle did a great job finishing strong down the stretch, taking six of its last seven games, but the Cowboys were just a bit better, winning in seven of their last eight contests. This will also be a second meeting for these teams, this after the Seahawks won in Week 3, 24-13 at home. In fairness, I don't think either team was what they are now in that one and not sure how much bearing it will have in this rematch. I think the big thing is the home field for Dallas, which only had one setback in eight games in "Jerry's World" this campaign. With the game figuring close with the type of offenses and defenses each bring to the table, the fact that the spread is under a field goal is significant. Going with the Pokes at home and giving the points.


Sunday, December 30, 2018

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants (-7) TOTAL 38.5 - The Cowboys have their playoff spot locked up and will be resting many regulars. The Giants will compete here and despite their injury issues will win this one by just enough to handle the spread - it's a give.

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) TOTAL 40.5 - Ravens have to win to make playoffs, which I think they can, but like the Browns to continue to be competitive - taking the points.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-014) TOTAL 45.5 - While the Ravens are fighting for a playoff spot with the Steelers, Pittsburgh will be fighting for the  postseason invitation as well and only one can get in. The Bengals are just playing out the string and aren't that good right now - laying the two touchdowns.



Sunday December 23, 2018

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (-13.5) TOTAL 44.5 - The Patriots are in unchartered waters having lost their last two and that is one of the reasons they should turn it around here. Look the Bills aren't at the level of New England, that is first and foremost, but don't think the psychology of sport doesn't play a role and the Pats want to send a message after all the naysayers are burying them. The key here is to win, do it big and they have been money at home (5-1 ATS), sending a message in the process -  it's a give.

New York Giants @ Indianapolis Colts (-9.5) TOTAL 48.5 - Look the Colts are still in the playoff hunt and will come out to win this game. What the question for the rest of us is , will the Giants show up to play after last week's lackluster effort and can they continue to perform well on the road, where they are 3-4 outright (5-1 ATS as road dog). I believe Indy is the better team and will win, but like New York to stay within the number - grabbing the points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys (-7) TOTAL 48 - Cowboys are playing to maintain their lead in the NFC East, Bucs are playing out the schedule. Forget about last week's terrible outing at Indy, the Pokes will return home where they are 6-1 outright (5-2 ATS), and get the job done  on both sides of the ball. Look for the run game and the defense to dictate the pace and margin - laying the points.



Sunday, December 16, 2018

Oakland Raiders @ Cincinnati Bengals (-3) TOTAL 46 - It's the NFL, it's Week 15, things don't always make sense or do they. Raiders have gone 2-2 over the last four games and that is at least a sign they haven't given up, while the Bengals have dropped five straight and not playing inspired football. Oakland continues its better play - grabbing the field goal.

Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts (-3) TOTAL 47 - Cowboys enter on a five-game winning streak and present Colts with yet another test after Indy's big win over Houston last week. While Dallas has won it's last two road games, the Pokes haven't been on the road in nearly a month and I think that might ultimately play a role here. This one goes back and forth, but this time the bounces go to Indy in the dome - laying the points.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams (-13) TOTAL 52 - Eagles role into LA minus a starting quarterback and while the replacement is a Super Bowl MVP in Nick Foles, it won't be the same results as last season. Rams are back at home after a pair of visits to NFC North country (Detroit, Chicago), the last a rough setback at the hands of the Bears and expect the offense to explode here. Philly won't be able to keep up with the scoring today - it's a give.



Sunday, December 9, 2018
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (-5) TOTAL 50 - The NFL doesn't always make sense and is a week-to-week league and while the Colts come off a clunker and the Texans have won five straight, I think this game will be closer than expected. There are also some historical betting numbers in place and that always carries weight - taking the points.

New York Giants (-3) @ Washington Redskins  TOTAL 40 - The Giants are playing their best ball of the season, but are without Odell Beckham Jr. The Redskins have a ton of injuries with the key ones being at quarterback and offensive line. Neither team is especially good, but I think the Giants can outlast this division foe - laying the field goal.

Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers (-4.5) TOTAL 51 - Both teams carry multi-game losing streaks into this one, but the Packers have played their best when at home (with the exception of last week), while the Falcons have not faired as well on the road. I think Green Bay responds to having their coach fired and wins by around a touchdown - giving the points.


Sunday, December 2, 2018

Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) TOTAL 52.5 - Steelers win a close one - laying the field goal

Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans (-5) TOTAL 48 - Texans win by a touchdown - it's a give.

Minnesota Vikings @ New England Patriots (-5.5) TOTAL 49.5 - Patriots are perfect at home and win by a late touchdown - giving the points.


Sunday, November 25, 2018

Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers (-3) TOTAL 46 - The Panthers have to keep winning to stay in the playoff picture as the Saints set the benchmark in the division after coming away with another win on Thanksgiving Day. Carolina may be setting the mark for a Wild Card spot if they can't catch New Orleans and this is the type of game it has to win. Seattle has been what the record indicates, an average team. They are capable of being in any game, but if you want your best shot at it. catch the Seahawks on the road. Panthers are perfect at home, so playing the odds - it's a give.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) @ Denver Broncos TOTAL 47.5 - The Steelers have grinded their way tp a 7-2-1 mark including the last six contests. No doubt this one will be as tough as it gets against a Broncos team that seems to be very competitive despite the record. However, I think the Steelers create matchup problems for Denver and that could be the difference in what I can see just a bit more than a field goal-type game - laying the field goal.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings (-3) TOTAL 47.5 - The Packers are trying desperately stay in the playoff picture and this is as critical a week as any against this NFC North rival. The Vikings also need this game to remain in sight of the Bears who won on Thanksgiving Day, so something has got to give. With that in mind I think the Packers will keep it close enough to take it into the fourth quarter - grabbing the points.
.     


Thursday, November 22, 2018

HAPPY THANKSGIVING!!!



Chicago Bears (-3.5) @ Detroit Lions TOTAL 44 - These clubs meet for the second time in three weeks in this Thursday contest, which certainly will play a role in the outcome with the lack of preperation time. The obvious here is that the Bears will rely on the defense more than ever to take control of this game and yes they are perfectly capable of doing just that, especially with the right shoulder injury and unknown status of QB Mitch Trubisky. The Lions snapped a 3-game slide with a win over the Panthers last week, but they too have some key injuries which is a common theme at this time of year across the league. The Bears have a good running game, and will probably try to put backup QB Chase Daniel in safe passing situation early on to get him in the flow. However, I expect the Lions will look to come out passing, especially the short game to try to neutralize the Chicago pass rush. This is a league that sometimes doesn't make sense and with that in mind, this goes down to a field goal so going to take the home team - grabbing the field goal with a hook! 

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys (-7) TOTAL 40.5 - Redskins have to be reeling following the season-ending injury to QB Alex Smith, who had help guide this team to the top of the NFC East. Backup Colt McCoy has experience in the league, but not sure that will be enough on the road in Dallas against a Cowboys team that is playing better football the past two games, beating the Eagles and Falcons. Offensively, if the Cowboys can continue to get RB Ezekiel Elliott going early on, then it will open things up for the passing game, which I believe they can do here. Washington may hang around early, but Dallas pulls away late - laying the touchdown.

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints (-13) TOTAL 60 - The Saints are by far playing the best all around football in the NFL, scoring at a video game-like clip, while the defense has limited some average clubs the past two weeks. Atlanta was riding high with a three-game win streak before the Falcons suffered two bad setbacks in the past two outings, so not sure which version of this club turns up on a short week. These clubs did play a high-scoring affair earlier this season in Atlanta, which the Saints came away with, so it would not be a surprise to see the Falcons reach the endzone more than some of the Saints recent opponents. The key here is that the line might finally be inflated as Vegas could be trying to sort out New Orleans. I like the home team to get the W, but maybe not by the near two-touchdowns being asked- grabbing the points.




Sunday, November 18, 2018

RIP KAK - Always remembered!

Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) TOTAL 49.5 - The Cowboys come off the best game of the year winning at Philadelphia, while the Falcons come off their worst. Look the NFL is a strange beats and with these types of teams it is week to week, a matchup situation. With that in mind, Falcons win on a late score and just over the hook - laying the points. 

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts (-2) TOTAL 50.5 - Another situation of matchups and week-to-week type teams. I like the Titans to just get by, maybe a special teams play by Tennessee plays a part. Going to go and grabs the points.

Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers (-7)) TOTAL 46.5 - While I like the Chargers to win this game at home, just believe a late score by Denver spoils the party for touchdown backers. This is a statement game for L.A., and the Chargers can win this, just not sure by enough - it's a take.




Sunday, November 11, 2018


Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts (-3) TOTAL 47 -The Colts hit their stride the last few weeks against two of the worst teams in the league, but at least it separates them from that level of opponent. On the other side, Jaguars are in a downward spiral, losing their last four games, but do come off the bye week after a trip overseas. The question does the break help this team against an opponent that may or may not be playing at a higher level? Well I think Indy can break through and get the job done here, and are not being asked to win by a ton, just by more than a field goal. Andrew Luck and company can score enough, while limiting a Jags offense that has been struggling - it's a give.

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angles Rams -9.5 TOTAL 50.5 - The Rams suffered their first loss of the season last week and will be looking to bounce back and more than likely they will against the Seahawks. However, just not sure they will cover the lofty spread here. Seattle is not the team it once was during the Pete Carroll-run regime, but they do play hard and seem to always be in the game. I think much of that revolves around QB Russell Wilson who seems to make plays and keep his team in contests. In addition, he never stops playing and can easily tack on late touchdowns, something that is dangerous with a near double digit spread. The Rams should bounce back with a win, but for a team that has covered only once in the last five outings, it may not be enough against the number - taking the points.

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles (-7) TOTAL 44 - The Eagles have had a week off since winning overseas and will be more than ready to take it to the Cowboys, who have dropped two straight, in this NFC East matchup. Philly does not look like the club that won it all last year, but they have shown enough to signal that they can beat a team like Dallas. While Dallas did blast Jacksonville three games back, it was more a indication of how bad the Jags were playing and not how good the Cowboys are. The Eagles are sound on both side of the ball to handle this foe and win by more than a touchdown - laying the points.  

  

Sunday,  November 4, 2018

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (-5) TOTAL 48 - Both teams enter off of a loss, but I really think the Minnesota offense will come up big this week and get off fast. The mistakes from last week will be addressed and the Vikings can put pressure on the Lions secondary from the start. Look the Lions are an up-and-down type team under a first-year head coach and while they have been a competitive teams so far this season, this just doesn't seem like a good spot for them. Minnesota takes this one at home by around a touchdown - giving the points.

 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (-6) TOTAL 55 -  The Panthers have played well the last five quarters and I expect that to continue at home today. Yes, the Bucs are turning back to Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB, but the Panthers will be prepared for that and will be set defensively for this signal caller. Additionally, the Panthers are 4-0 at home and against the spread, which will be a trend that continues here. Look for Carolina to come out strong on both sides of the ball and make Tampa Bay chase all day - laying the points.

G
reen Bay Packers @ New England Patriots (-5) TOTAL 56.5 - The Packers come off a huge effort against the Rams, but now must travel to as tough a place to play, in facing the New England Patriots. The Pats are 4-0 at home so far this season and have won five straight. Green Bay must now come up with another top effort and in the NFL that can be a daunting task, especially on the road. With New England, the other factor is that they can hit you with a special teams play or two on top of the efficient  offense. Forget about the field goal fest the Pats had versus Buffalo, this week they get in the endzone - it's a give. 

Sunday, October 28, 2018

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals (-4) TOTAL 55 - The Bengals are in a good spot to stop a two-game slide, but when looking at the losses, they came at the hands of two solid teams in the Steelers and Chiefs. The Bucs, who stopped a two-game losing streak in their last are not as good as that competition and also are on the road at Cincinnati. Look for the Bengals to play better at home and win by almost a touchdown - laying the number.

D
enver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) TOTAL 53.5 - These AFC West teams meet for the second time and it is only Week 8, but the Broncos actually pushed the Chiefs in the first encounter, as KC came away with a 4-point road win. Back at home, the Chiefs can explode on offense and set the tone right away to establish a sizable lead. The only concern would be a late touchdown, but going to think KC will be far enough ahead to handle this - it's a give.

Green Bay Packers @ Los Angeles Rams (-8) TOTAL 57.5 - The line keeps dropping in this one and I actually think it has settled on a number that can work for the Rams. Los Angles is playing the best football on both sides right now and we know they will not be stopped on offense by the Packers defense. The question is how much and how often will Green Bay be able to score on Los Angeles, and will a late touchdown cost the bettor. Early in the week when the line was higher I was caught up in the Aaron Rodgers will lead a late scoring drive theory, at a line of -8, going the other way now and backing the home team - laying the points.



Sunday, October 21, 2018

Detroit Lions (-3) @ Miami Dolphins TOTAL 47 - I know the Dolphins are relying on a backup quarterback, but Brock Osweiler played well in rallying the team to a win last week against the Bears. On top of that, Miami can run on this Lions defense, which hasn't played well in that department so far this season. Yes, Detroit is capable of dropping points on opponents, but they haven't played as well away from home, so not sure they will excel in this situation on the road. Look for this one to be close, but in the end Miami, which is 3-0 at home this campaign, takes this one - grabbing the points.

Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles (-5) TOTAL 45 - Both teams have been up and down through the early part of the season and still appear to be trying to find their best strides. What has been apparent is that neither team is a blowout style team when facing credible opponents. With the exception of last week's game against the woeful Giants, the Eagles have played games in which they have won or lost by no more than six points. The Panthers have won or lost by eight points or less in 4-of-5 games this season, so they too will be competitive throughout. I think the defenses will have much to say about the pace here and it will go to the fourth quarter until this is decided. Like the Panthers to stay close and cover- taking the points.

Dallas Cowboys (-1) @ Washington Redskins TOTAL 41.5 - I like the way the Redskins have played this season, with maybe the exception of the loss to the Colts. Alex Smith is a steady influence for the offense and they just seem to be playing well as a team. The Cowboys have been good at home and bad on the road (0-3) and they are on the road here. Looking for Washington to establish the tone for this game early and win this one - it's a take.      


Sunday, October 14, 2018

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) TOTAL 50.5 - The Bengals have played well this season, but they have had trouble with the Steelers, over the last few seasons. Pittsburgh has the type of offense that can score in bunches, posting 21 or more points in 4-of-5 games this season, including 41 last week, while Cincy can boast the same qualifications when it has the ball, notching at least three TDs in every contest in the 2018 campaign, so this will be a shootout. Going with the team that has been hot in the series of late and this could come down to a field goal - taking the points.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns (-1.5) TOTAL 47 - Both teams enter the game playing good football and capitalizing on schedules that have been to their competitive levels, with the Chargers beating teams with a combined 4-11 record, while losing to teams that are undefeated. Cleveland has also done well with a competitive schedule, facing teams with a combined 12-12-1 mark, and splitting those contests with a 2-2-1 record through five weeks. What has really caught my eye is that the Browns defense is causing turnovers and that can tilt the balance a bit in a game like this at home. The line suggests a close game and even with the home team a slight favorite, think the Browns can win this by a field goal - laying the points.

Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) @ Dallas Cowboys TOTAL 40 - The classic match-up of a dominant defense, Jacksonville, and a weak offense, Dallas, in this one. Don't really expect a ton of scoring on either end here, but I think the Jaguars can get enough stops and tip the field position to let them out-field goal the Cowboys, with a touchdown or two thrown in, to cover the small road number - it's a give. 


Sunday, October 7, 2018

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3) TOTAL 49 - After passing the first test against a good defense last week and posting 27 points, the Chiefs come right back (and at home) versus another top point stopping unit in the Jaguars. With so many weapons, Kansas City is a tough offense to stop for four quarters and will certainly be a challenge for a talented Jacksonville defense. The real way to stop a team like the Chiefs is to control the ball on lengthy drives and keep them from long plays when they are on offense. Not sure the Jags can do both - so going with KC and giving the field goal.


Tennessee Titans (-5.5) @ Buffalo Bills TOTAL 39 - The Titans have come out if the gate quietly playing steady defense and efficient offense, winning and covering in three of their first four games, with the lone setback being a highly unusual situation when weather caused the opener in Miami to last like seven hours! Meanwhile, the Bills are just not that good with their only win coming in a complete surprise against the Vikings. That type of game actually helps Tennessee prepare and not let up, knowing that if you don't play your best, you can lose to any team. The Titans defense will make life difficult for rookie QB Josh Allen, while the offense can put up over 20 points against the Buffalo defense and while i'm not big on road favs - it's a give.


Los Angeles Rams (-7.5) @ Seattle Seahawks TOTAL 50 - The Rams can score and that is the bottom line and like the Chiefs, have so many weapons it's hard to take one away and think you will stop them. On top of that they have a coach that understands offense and creating mismatches to exploit them. I appreciate what Russell Wilson has done in carrying his team to a 2-2 record, with an average team, that no longer has that fearsome defense. The Rams have covered 3-of-4 games (a push in the other), with lines of 6.5 or more and that will continue here - laying the TD plus the hook!    


Sunday, September 30, 2018

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts (PK) TOTAL 47.5 - A pick'em game generally doesn't look good for a home team, especially when it comes in with a better record than the winless visitor. Not sure that is the case here, but one thing is certain, with Andrew Luck the Colts can stay close in games and if given the chance, they can win on a final drive. It didn't work out last week against a very good opponent and we did learn his injured shoulder is not ready to throw a "Hail Mary" pass, yet he may not be asked to do so here. The Texans just seem to be missing a beat this season, especially on offense. I would expect them to pick up the pace, but look for Luck and company to hold sway down the stretch - Colts for the win.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) @ Tennessee Titans TOTAL 41 - Carson Wentz now has a game under his belt after returning last week from the knee injury of a season ago. He played within himself and I like that, which shows a quarterback with a solid head on his shoulders, an intangible I think that will make a top player for years to come. The Titans have a formidable defense through three games, but the offense doesn't really scare me. Agains this type of opponent you need to score some points as the Philly defense can make like miserable for an opponent. The line is not asking for a blowout and the Eagles can win by slightly more than a field goal here - road give. 

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) TOTAL 51 - The Ravens defense is controlling force in many ways and while the Steelers are always capable of scoring points, even missing some star parts, games against Baltimore always seem to be close. What I do think will work here is the Ravens offense versus a suspect Pittsburgh defense. I'll take the road team plus the points.




Sunday, September 23, 2018

Indianapolis Colts @ Philadelphia Eagles (-7) TOTAL 46 - The Colts with Andrew Luck are a different team and even with the return of Carson Wentz to the Eagles this week, think this game can easily be competitive. Even if the Colts fall behind, they can rally late and keep things closer than expected. Philly might try to keep things a bit more conservative to help Wentz in his return as well. Eagles win, but don't cover - grabbing the touchdown.

Dallas Cowboys @ Seattle Seahawks (-1.5) TOTAL 40.5 - After two straight tough losses on the road, the Seahawks return to Seattle and historically this team has one of the strongest home-field advantages. On the other side, the Cowboys showed little offense on the road against Carolina in the opener and not much more against the Giants last week. I expect this to be a close contest as neither team has much on offense, but again, the line is not suggesting a blowout anyway or much scoring - it's a give.

Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins (-3) TOTAL 44.5 - Even with the return to coaching of Jon Gruden, the Raiders just appear to have something missing and now have to make a west to east trek, which is not the easiest of things for a below average team. The Dolphins took care of business last week against the Jets after suffering a touchdown loss against Tennessee in the opener, which really wasn't that bad a setback considering the game had been delays because of weather and took almost an entire day to complete (or so it seemed). The Dolphins defense can keep this opponent in check and the offense will do enough to get the job done. The line seems fair and they can win by a bit more than the field goal - laying the points.



Sunday, September 16, 2018

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TOTAL 46.5 - Love situations like this, Bucs coming off a huge offensive performance on the road against the Saints, a team in which you never know what you will get on defense. The Eagles have a defense that will plain and simple make life miserable for an opponent. Philly will do enough offensively to get the job done - giving the field goal.

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams (-13) TOTAL 44 - Rams got things rolling in the second half and they have a team built on both sides of the ball to win NOW. Not sure the Cardinals are as bad as they looked last week, but even a slight improvement won't be enough to hang with this foe on the road. No problem the Rams win by the two touchdowns needed - laying the points.

Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers (-6) TOTAL 48 - Both teams are coming off losses and while the Lions probably aren't as bad as they looked against the Jets, not sure what kind of team they truly are. The Niners had no shot going into Minnesota against the Vikings last week and the Detroit defense will not pose nearly as many problems in this contest as the Minnesota shut down unit. Look for San Fran to get things on track offensively and can win by a touchdown at home - it's a give.


Sunday, September 9, 2018

Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) TOTAL 39 - Look the regular season is a bit more forgiving than the postseason, but no matter what, who you have behind center is still among the most important variables in the NFL. The Bills have decided to turn the ball over to a player who is a backup, in Nathan Peterman, who has only one start and a few other appearances on his regular season resume. Additionally, with the exception of RB LeSean McCoy, the Buffalo offense really doesn't have much going for it, further making things difficult for an inexperienced quarterback. Meanwhile, The Ravens, have experience at that spot in Super Bowl winning QB Joe Flacco, although he is certainly on the back nine of his career. However, he has more weapons and a defense that is always formidable. It won't be a pretty game, but can easily see the Ravens hold sway and cover the touchdown-plus- laying the points.



 Houston Texans @ New England Patriots (-6.5) TOTAL 50 - This is a good game for an opening week and brings together an exciting second-year signal caller coming off an injury in Deshaun Watson, and one of the best ever in Tom Brady. Watson was tearing things up offensively before injuring his knee last season and I expect he will be just as dangerous this campaign. Brady is simply steady and makes all around him better. However, the Patriots can start a bit slowly and while they could easily win the game, have a feeling this one will be a bit closer than the line is suggesting. Look for Watson and returning defensive star J.J. Watt (also coming off an injury last season) to make this game competitive - grabbing the points.



 Washington Redskins @ Arizona Cardinals (-1.5) TOTAL 43.5 - Both teams begin the season with new veteran quarterbacks in control, with Alex Smith assuming the controls for the Redskins, while Sam Bradford is at the helm in Arizona. However, for me I am going to look at preparation for openers as the key here. In Washington Head Coach Jon Gruden's first four seasons, the Redskins are 0-4 and that to me is a telling stat. Sure some will say he is due, but in football, I am going the other way and maybe he just doesn't have his team ready and the desert can be a tough place to begin the season. These teams are somewhat evenly matched and the line appears to be a good one. Still, going to look for the Cardinals to do just enough and get the job done in a close one - it's a give.



Thursday, September 6, 2018

Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles (-1) TOTAL 44.5 - Opening Night of the NFL season takes place in this now-annual Thursday Night game as the defending champion Eagles host the Falcons. The Eagles defeated the Falcons 15-10, in last season's Divisional Round of the playoffs so there is a bit of payback potential in this contest, giving Atlanta some added incentive. However, that won't be the case here and despite Philadelphia not clicking that well in the pre-season offensively, this is the regular campaign and expect them to win this in the trenches with one of the best offensive lines in the game. The Eagles can make this an ugly, physical game and try to play some ball control. Atlanta has a ton of weapons on offense, but they Philly defense can match up fairly well with them as was the case in the previous encounter. The line is a fair one given some of what the public has seen leading up to this opener and it should be a close contest. History says take the home team and defending champs, and that's the direction I'm leaning - it's a give!



 


Website Builder